{"id":12978,"date":"2025-05-06T07:29:51","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T07:29:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/?p=12978"},"modified":"2025-05-06T07:33:58","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T07:33:58","slug":"pruzkum-cnopk-naznacuje-hospodarsky-pesimismus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/?p=12978","title":{"rendered":"Konjunktur\u00e1ln\u00ed pr\u016fzkum \u010cNOPK nazna\u010duje hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd pesimismus"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u010cesko-n\u011bmeck\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 komora (\u010cNOPK) prezentovala na tiskov\u00e9 konferenci v kopuli nad V\u00e1clavsk\u00fdm n\u00e1m\u011bst\u00edm aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdsledky Konjunktur\u00e1ln\u00edho pr\u016fzkumu 2025, z n\u011bho\u017e vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee konkurenceschopnost je v na\u0161em regionu ve v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9m ohro\u017een\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Navzdory \u010dasto ambici\u00f3zn\u00edm proklamac\u00edm politik\u016f zde prezentovali Christian R\u00fchmkorf a Bernard Bauer z \u010cesko-n\u011bmeck\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 komory, jej\u00ed prezident Milan \u0160lachta (Bosch Group \u010cR a SR), Hana Sou\u010dkov\u00e1 (SAP \u010cR), Niclas Pf\u00fcller (Brose CZ) a Prof. Dr. Timo Wollmersh\u00e4user z mnichovsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho institutu Ifo, nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 optimistick\u00e9 \u00fadaje, vych\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed z ekonomick\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu n\u011bmeck\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch komor (AHK).<\/p>\n

Ten se prov\u00e1d\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd rok paraleln\u011b v 16 zem\u00edch regionu st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropy a v \u010cR se letos pr\u016fzkumu z\u00fa\u010dastnilo 130 firem z \u010desko-n\u011bmeck\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 sf\u00e9ry.<\/p>\n

Nezast\u00edran\u00e9 probl\u00e9my <\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledky ji\u017e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu poukazuj\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm na klesaj\u00edc\u00ed investice a nedostatek kvalifikovan\u00fdch pracovn\u00edch sil, kter\u00e9 zpomaluj\u00ed zotaven\u00ed ekonomiky. To nesporn\u011b vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 zna\u010dnou nejistotu ve zpracovatelsk\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu, co\u017e ohro\u017euje celkovou konkurenceschopnost.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Jako nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rizika se v roce 2025 jev\u00ed nejist\u00e1 popt\u00e1vka a obchodn\u00ed konflikty. Do toho vstupuj\u00ed rostouc\u00ed po\u017eadavky na pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly, u kter\u00fdch pro mnoh\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b, podniky hodnot\u00ed \u201ekvalifikaci zam\u011bstnanc\u016f\u201c h\u016f\u0159e ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm.<\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 republika si pohor\u0161ila <\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Z pohledu investor\u016f a konkurenceschopnosti sice z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 \u010cR atraktivn\u00ed, ale \u201ena\u0161e\u201c n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed prvn\u00ed m\u00edsto ve st\u0159edn\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b u\u017e s\u00a0n\u00e1skokem dr\u017e\u00ed Polsko. Za n\u00e1mi je Slovensko, \u010dtvrt\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b Rumunsko, a\u017e p\u00e1t\u00e9 Ma\u010farsko, jen t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed Bulharskem. Jako d\u016fvody jsou uv\u00e1d\u011bny: v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1klady, infrastruktura, kvalifikovan\u00e1 pracovn\u00ed s\u00edla. Ty se pochopiteln\u011b prom\u00edtaj\u00ed v\u00a0problemati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed konkurenceschopnosti, a p\u0159esto\u017ee sou\u010dasnou ekonomickou situaci hodnot\u00ed podniky jako m\u00edrn\u011b lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce, ekonomick\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky pro leto\u0161n\u00ed rok v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed pesimistick\u00e9. Pouze 17 % o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 zlep\u0161en\u00ed, ka\u017ed\u00e1 druh\u00e1 spole\u010dnost p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 stagnaci a t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159etina dokonce dal\u0161\u00ed klesaj\u00edc\u00ed trend.<\/p>\n

Rozd\u00edln\u00e9 pom\u011bry v sektorech<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pr\u016fzkum tak\u00e9 potvrdil probl\u00e9my ve zpracovatelsk\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu a rozpor mezi odli\u0161n\u00fdm v\u00fdvojem ve v\u00fdrazn\u011b optimisti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sektoru slu\u017eeb. U\u017e sedm let (s v\u00fdjimkou roku 2021) je zaznamen\u00e1v\u00e1na celkov\u011b klesaj\u00edc\u00ed ochota investovat. Ve zpracovatelsk\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu hodl\u00e1 v sou\u010dasnosti sn\u00ed\u017eit sv\u00e9 investice cel\u00fdch 43 % firem, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje nemal\u00fd probl\u00e9m. Tento zes\u00edlen\u00fd trend by mohl d\u00e1le podn\u00edtit debatu o klesaj\u00edc\u00ed konkurenceschopnosti a deindustrializaci.<\/p>\n

Milan \u0160lachta, prezident \u010cNOPK a z\u00e1stupce Bosch Group CZ & SK na toto t\u00e9ma uvedl: \u201eN\u00e1\u0161 pr\u016fmysl stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed v\u00fdzvou, jak se transformovat a z\u00e1rove\u0148 si udr\u017eet konkurenceschopnost \u2013 oboj\u00ed vy\u017eaduje velk\u00e9 investice. N\u00e1\u0161 ekonomick\u00fd pr\u016fzkum zde odhaluje probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd je pot\u0159eba neprodlen\u011b \u0159e\u0161it. P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm by m\u011bla politick\u00e1 reprezentace pru\u017en\u011bji reagovala na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdvoj, a\u0165 u\u017e v oblasti sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed byrokracie, podpory vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a dostupnosti kvalifikovan\u00fdch pracovn\u00edk\u016f, ale tak\u00e9 sm\u011brem k v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed technologick\u00e9 otev\u0159enosti v oblasti dekarbonizace dopravy a pr\u016fmyslu.\u201c<\/p>\n

Rizika a v\u00fdzvy <\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkumu ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee 63 % spole\u010dnost\u00ed vid\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed riziko v poklesu popt\u00e1vky, co\u017e je o 5 % v\u00edce ne\u017e v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm roce. Dal\u0161\u00ed hlavn\u00ed obavy jsou: n\u00e1klady na pracovn\u00ed s\u00edlu (49 %), ceny energi\u00ed (46 %) a nedostatek kvalifikovan\u00fdch pracovn\u00edk\u016f (p\u0159es 43 %). Za nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdzvy v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch p\u011bti letech pova\u017euj\u00ed spole\u010dnosti \u201eobchodn\u00ed p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky a konflikty\u201c (61 %), \u201edigit\u00e1ln\u00ed transformaci a um\u011blou inteligenci\u201c (53 %) a \u201ekybernetickou bezpe\u010dnost\u201c (50 %).<\/p>\n

Kde je zakopan\u00fd pes?<\/b><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010cesk\u00e1 republika z\u00edskala u investor\u016f vysok\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed zejm\u00e9na za tyto faktory: \u010dlenstv\u00ed v EU (1. m\u00edsto), telekomunikace (kvalita s\u00edt\u011b, slu\u017eby – 2. m\u00edsto) a tradi\u010dn\u011b za \u201ekvalitu a dostupnost m\u00edstn\u00edch dodavatel\u016f\u201c (3. m\u00edsto). Naopak nejh\u016f\u0159e investo\u0159i v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice hodnot\u00ed \u201edostupnost kvalifikovan\u00e9 pracovn\u00ed s\u00edly\u201c (25. m\u00edsto), \u201esyst\u00e9m vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c (24. m\u00edsto) a \u201eefektivitu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy\u201c (23. m\u00edsto), stejn\u011b jako \u201ep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky\u201c (22. m\u00edsto).<\/p>\n

K dramatick\u00e9mu zhor\u0161en\u00ed do\u0161lo v hodnocen\u00ed \u201ekvalifikace zam\u011bstnanc\u016f\u201c (19. m\u00edsto z 25!). \u201eKvalifikace zam\u011bstnanc\u016f\u201c, kter\u00e1 se v \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku lokaliza\u010dn\u00edch faktor\u016f je\u0161t\u011b v roce 2021 umis\u0165ovala na 6. m\u00edst\u011b, se pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u011b propadala a\u017e na sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 historick\u00e9 minimum. \u201eNejde o to, \u017ee by se zhor\u0161ila samotn\u00e1 kvalifikace nebo odborn\u00e9 vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, ale o to, \u017ee se v dob\u011b rychl\u00e9ho rozvoje digitalizace a um\u011bl\u00e9 inteligence v\u00fdrazn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily po\u017eadavky firem. P\u0159esto\u017ee kvalifikace zam\u011bstnanc\u016f ur\u010duje inova\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edlu lokality, \u010desk\u00fd syst\u00e9m vzd\u011bl\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed na to zat\u00edm nem\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f,“ upozor\u0148uje Bernard Bauer, v\u00fdkonn\u00fd \u010dlen p\u0159edstavenstva \u010cNOPK.<\/p>\n

Karel Ber\u00e1nek, Praha<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u010cesko-n\u011bmeck\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 komora (\u010cNOPK) prezentovala na tiskov\u00e9 konferenci v kopuli nad V\u00e1clavsk\u00fdm n\u00e1m\u011bst\u00edm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12980,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza","category-tiskovky"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12978"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12978\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12984,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12978\/revisions\/12984"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12980"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}