Bilance zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se zbo\u017e\u00edm v b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch skon\u010dila v dubnu p\u0159ebytkem ve v\u00fd\u0161i 23,2 mld. K\u010d (predikce p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dala 32,4 mld. K\u010d). P\u0159ebytek byl meziro\u010dn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed o 6,9 mld. K\u010d. B\u0159eznov\u00fd v\u00fdsledek byl revidov\u00e1n na 30,6 mld. K\u010d. Zv\u00fd\u0161ilo se kladn\u00e9 saldo obchodu s motorov\u00fdmi vozidly.<\/b><\/p>\n
Meziro\u010dn\u011b saldo zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu\u00a0<\/b>nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b ovlivnil vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed schodek obchodu s ropou a zemn\u00edm plynem o 5,7 mld. K\u010d. Zhor\u0161ila se bilance s elektrick\u00fdmi za\u0159\u00edzen\u00edmi o 5,3 mld. K\u010d, o 3,3 mld. K\u010d se sn\u00ed\u017eil p\u0159ebytek obchodu s kovod\u011bln\u00fdmi v\u00fdrobky. Celkovou bilanci p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b ovlivnil men\u0161\u00ed deficit obchodu s rafinovan\u00fdmi ropn\u00fdmi produkty o 3,1 mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n
Kladn\u00e9 saldo obchodu s motorov\u00fdmi vozidly se zv\u00fd\u0161ilo o 2,9 mld. K\u010d, deficit obchodu s po\u010d\u00edta\u010di, elektronick\u00fdmi a optick\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edstroji se zmen\u0161il o 2,9 mld. K\u010d.<\/p>\n
Meziro\u010dn\u011b se p\u0159ebytek bilance zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se st\u00e1ty EU<\/b>\u00a0sn\u00ed\u017eil o 2,4 mld. K\u010d. Deficit obchodu se st\u00e1ty mimo EU se zv\u011bt\u0161il o 1,4 mld. K\u010d. V\u00fdvoz klesl meziro\u010dn\u011b o 1,1 % na 408,5 mld. K\u010d a dovoz se zv\u00fd\u0161il o 0,6 % na 385,3 mld. K\u010d. Po sez\u00f3nn\u00edm o\u010di\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u00fdvoz mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b poklesl o 0,2 % a dovoz se sn\u00ed\u017eil o 0,4 %.
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V 1Q 2025 plynulo z \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky do N\u011bmecka 30 % ve\u0161ker\u00e9ho exportu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ochlazen\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b p\u016fsob\u00ed na \u010desk\u00fd zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod.\u00a0<\/b>V platnosti st\u00e1le z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed americk\u00e1 10% cla na zbo\u017e\u00ed a cla ve v\u00fd\u0161i 25 % na automotive, cla na ocel a hlin\u00edk od 4. \u010dervna se zv\u00fd\u0161ila na 50 %.<\/p>\n
\u010cesk\u00e9 firmy hledaj\u00ed odbyti\u0161t\u011b mimo zem\u011b EU, nap\u0159\u00edklad v Asii.\u00a0<\/b>Dobrou uk\u00e1zkou je Singapur, kdy se v\u00fdvoz do t\u00e9to zem\u011b za posledn\u00ed rok zv\u00fd\u0161il o 55 %. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b r\u016fst pozorujeme z velmi n\u00edzk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, proto\u017ee zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod se Singapurem tvo\u0159\u00ed pouze 0,33 %.<\/p>\n
Mezi nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obchodn\u00ed partnery \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky po N\u011bmecku d\u00e1le pat\u0159\u00ed Slovensko (8,6 % exportu v 1Q 2025) a Polsko (7,3 % exportu v 1Q 2025). Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 uzav\u00edraj\u00ed prvn\u00ed des\u00edtku zem\u00ed, av\u0161ak hodnota obchodu tvo\u0159\u00ed pouze 3 %.\u00a0<\/b>V posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch m\u00e1 pozitivn\u00ed vliv na obchodn\u00ed bilanci r\u016fst obchodu s motorov\u00fdmi vozidly.<\/p>\n
Za leden a\u017e duben 2025 se p\u0159ebytek obchodn\u00ed bilance zv\u00fd\u0161il na 106,2 mld. K\u010d a meziro\u010dn\u011b poklesl o 6,9 mld. K\u010d. V\u00fdvoz od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku vzrostl o 4,3 % a dovoz o 5,1 %. Duben 2025 m\u011bl o jeden pracovn\u00ed den m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e duben 2024.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed obchod nen\u00ed v lehk\u00e9 situaci. Nejistota spojen\u00e1 s uvalen\u00edm americk\u00fdch cel z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le vysok\u00e1, v\u00fd\u0161e ji\u017e platn\u00fdch cel se m\u011bn\u00ed z t\u00fddne na t\u00fdden, nap\u0159\u00edklad zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed 25% cel na ocel a hlin\u00edk na 50 %. Platn\u00e1 a prozat\u00edm nem\u011bnn\u00e1 cla ve v\u00fd\u0161i 25 % na automotive negativn\u011b ovliv\u0148uj\u00ed n\u011bmeck\u00fd automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, co\u017e se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 projevovat tak\u00e9 v \u010desk\u00e9m automotive. <\/b><\/p>\n
\u010cesk\u00e1 republika dod\u00e1v\u00e1 do N\u011bmecka n\u00e1hradn\u00ed d\u00edly do automobil\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou montov\u00e1ny v N\u011bmecku, a odtud sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Podle \u00fadaj\u016f z trhu pr\u00e1ce se nezam\u011bstnanost sice prudce nezvy\u0161uje, ale pozorujeme klesaj\u00edc\u00ed zam\u011bstnanost v pr\u016fmyslu, kdy firmy nenahrazuj\u00ed p\u0159irozen\u00fd \u00fabytek zam\u011bstnanc\u016f nov\u00fdmi pracovn\u00edky. Jist\u00e9 sign\u00e1ly uk\u00e1zal tak\u00e9 pokles PMI, kter\u00fd se sn\u00ed\u017eil z 48,9 bod\u016f na kv\u011btnov\u00fdch 48,0 bod\u016f a nazna\u010dil, \u017ee m\u00edrn\u00fd r\u016fst v pr\u016fmyslu by se v leto\u0161n\u00edm roce mohl zastavit.<\/b><\/p>\n
Autor: Tereza Kr\u010dek, analyti\u010dkaRB<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bilance zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu se zbo\u017e\u00edm v b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch cen\u00e1ch skon\u010dila v dubnu p\u0159ebytkem ve v\u00fd\u0161i 23,2…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11097,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza","category-export"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13758","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13758"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13758\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13765,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13758\/revisions\/13765"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11097"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13758"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13758"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13758"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}