{"id":5282,"date":"2024-07-08T08:56:59","date_gmt":"2024-07-08T08:56:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/?p=5282"},"modified":"2024-07-08T08:57:19","modified_gmt":"2024-07-08T08:57:19","slug":"autoprumysl-nadale-zaostava-za-ocekavanim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/?p=5282","title":{"rendered":"Autopr\u016fmysl letos zaost\u00e1v\u00e1 za o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 v\u00fdroba v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice poklesla i v kv\u011btnu, v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed do\u0161lo k mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edmu poklesu o 2,2 %, v meziro\u010dn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed jde o pokles o 3,2 %. „N\u00e1\u0161 odhad byl mezi analytiky nejbl\u00ed\u017ee a reflektoval zejm\u00e9na propad v automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu a st\u00e1le slabou popt\u00e1vku,“ uvedla Raiffeisenbank.<\/b><\/p>\n

Pohledem na\u00a0jednotliv\u00e1 odv\u011btv\u00ed<\/b>\u00a0je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee za celkov\u00fdm propadem stoj\u00ed zejm\u00e9na\u00a0automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl<\/b>, kde do\u0161lo k meziro\u010dn\u00edmu poklesu ve v\u00fd\u0161i 7 %, co\u017e v\u00fdkon pr\u016fmyslu jako celku sn\u00ed\u017eilo o 1,41 p.b. Je v\u0161ak nutn\u00e9 poznamenat, \u017ee za opticky hor\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdsledkem zde stoj\u00ed i vysok\u00e1 srovn\u00e1vac\u00ed z\u00e1kladna minul\u00e9ho roku, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e za cel\u00e9 obdob\u00ed leden-kv\u011bten je automotive meziro\u010dn\u011b jen o 0,5 % hor\u0161\u00ed. <\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b\u00a0v\u00fdroby ostatn\u00edch dopravn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed\u00a0<\/b>je kv\u011btnov\u00fd pokles tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00fd (-25,4 % r\/r), co\u017e cel\u00fd pr\u016fmysl sn\u00ed\u017eilo o 0,54 p.b., kumulativn\u011b od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku p\u0159itom tato oblast st\u00e1le hl\u00e1s\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed o 2,7 %. K propad\u016fm v\u0161ak do\u0161lo i v dal\u0161\u00edch oblastech, zejm\u00e9na jde o\u00a0v\u00fdrobu stroj\u016f a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/b>, kter\u00e1 je meziro\u010dn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed o 16,6 % a celkov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl pon\u00ed\u017eila o 1,38 p.b.<\/p>\n

Naopak pozitivn\u011b se projevila\u00a0v\u00fdroba a rozvod elekt\u0159iny, plynu, tepla a klimatizovan\u00e9ho vzduchu<\/b>, kde do\u0161lo k r\u016fstu o 7 % r\/r, co\u017e do celkov\u00e9ho rozkladu v\u00fdvoje pr\u016fmyslu p\u0159isp\u011blo ve v\u00fd\u0161i 0,46 p.b. Rovn\u011b\u017e se da\u0159ilo\u00a0v\u00fdrob\u011b po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f, elektronick\u00fdch a optick\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstroj\u016f a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed\u00a0<\/b>(+8,6 % r\/r), a to navzdory pasivn\u00edmu saldu t\u00e9to polo\u017eky v bilanci zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu.<\/p>\n

Zv\u00fd\u0161ila se tak\u00e9\u00a0v\u00fdroba potravin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f<\/b>\u00a0(+4,4 % r\/r) a letos poprv\u00e9 do\u0161lo ke\u00a0zlep\u0161en\u00ed v t\u011b\u017ea\u0159stv\u00ed<\/b>, kdy\u017e odv\u011btv\u00ed t\u011b\u017eby a dob\u00fdv\u00e1n\u00ed m\u00edrn\u011b porostlo o 0,3 % r\/r, a\u010dkoli kumulativn\u00ed v\u00fdkon od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku je st\u00e1le o v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 % meziro\u010dn\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Optimismus d\u00e1v\u00e1 r\u016fst zak\u00e1zek v automotive<\/strong><\/p>\n

Z pohledu\u00a0nov\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek<\/b>\u00a0jsou vyhl\u00eddky na zlep\u0161en\u00ed omezen\u00e9, kdy\u017e\u00a0popt\u00e1vka z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 utlumen\u00e1<\/b>\u00a0a meziro\u010dn\u011b se zv\u00fd\u0161ila jen o 0,8 %. Ur\u010ditou d\u00e1vku optimismu v\u0161ak nab\u00edz\u00ed op\u011bt\u00a0automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl<\/b>, kde doch\u00e1z\u00ed k r\u016fstu nov\u00fdch zak\u00e1zek o 3,5 % r\/r, v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u00fdroby ostatn\u00edch dopravn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed jde o meziro\u010dn\u00ed r\u016fst ve v\u00fd\u0161i 4 %. Dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst by mohl pokra\u010dovat i ve\u00a0v\u00fdrob\u011b po\u010d\u00edta\u010d\u016f, elektronick\u00fdch a optick\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstroj\u016f a za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed<\/b>, kde zak\u00e1zky v kv\u011btnu rostly dokonce tempem 24,8 % r\/r. Vysok\u00e9 tempo r\u016fstu op\u011bt vyk\u00e1zala popt\u00e1vka ve\u00a0farmaceutick\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu<\/b>\u00a0prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm v\u00fdroby z\u00e1kladn\u00edch farmaceutick\u00fdch v\u00fdrobk\u016f a farmaceutick\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpravk\u016f (+6 % r\/r) a v\u00fdroba chemick\u00fdch l\u00e1tek a chemick\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpravk\u016f (+9,7 % r\/r). K v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm pokles\u016fm popt\u00e1vky v\u0161ak d\u00e1le doch\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00a0hutnictv\u00ed a sl\u00e9v\u00e1renstv\u00ed<\/b>, kdy\u017e v\u00fdroba z\u00e1kladn\u00edch kov\u016f, hutn\u00ed zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed kov\u016f a sl\u00e9v\u00e1renstv\u00ed hl\u00e1s\u00ed meziro\u010dn\u00ed pokles zak\u00e1zek o 8,5 %, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e saldo zahrani\u010dn\u00edho obchodu je v t\u00e9to oblasti negativn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Oslaben\u00ed pr\u016fmyslu se projevuje i na\u00a0trhu pr\u00e1ce<\/b>, kdy\u017e op\u011bt doch\u00e1z\u00ed ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed zam\u011bstnanosti v pr\u016fmyslu o 2 % r\/r. M\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed mzdy v pr\u016fmyslu v\u0161ak v pr\u016fm\u011bru nad\u00e1le rostou (+7,9 % r\/r).<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd sektor se nad\u00e1le pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s probl\u00e9my, pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fatlum v hutnictv\u00ed a sl\u00e9v\u00e1renstv\u00ed tentokr\u00e1t nevyv\u00e1\u017eil ani automobilov\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, na co\u017e upozor\u0148oval i n\u00e1\u0161 odhad kv\u011btnov\u00e9ho v\u00fdsledku. Negativn\u011b se nav\u00edc projevuje i hor\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 situace v zahrani\u010d\u00ed, kdy\u017e v kv\u011btnu ne\u010dekan\u011b oslabil i pr\u016fmysl v N\u011bmecku. Mnoho optimismu nedod\u00e1vaj\u00ed ani p\u0159edstihov\u00e9 ukazatele, a tak\u00a0o\u017eiven\u00ed v pr\u016fmyslu z\u0159ejm\u011b bude trvat d\u00e9le, ne\u017e jsme o\u010dek\u00e1vali<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Autor: V\u00edt Miku\u0161ek, analytik RB<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 v\u00fdroba v \u010cesk\u00e9 republice poklesla i v kv\u011btnu, v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed do\u0161lo k mezim\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edmu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42,10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyza","category-statistika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5282"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5282\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5284,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5282\/revisions\/5284"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.automakers.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}